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I went 0-3 on my bets against the spread last week, it was a tough weekend. The Cardinals were unable to capitalize on many critical turnovers by the Seahawks. The Lions forgot to show up against the Ravens and somehow the Steelers keep winning with clutch defensive turnovers. Overall, the NFL was very unpredictable in week 7. Overall I am now 14/22 on my picks against the spread this season, this puts me at a 63% success rate. Let’s pump this number up this week and make some money.

Now onto week 8, we have a better grasp on what each team brings to the table. Both the Vikings and Packers have been struggling as of late. The Packers are coming off a tough loss to the Denver Broncos. Jordan Love threw a game ending interception on their final drive, and the Broncos won 19-17.

The Vikings will be without star wide receiver Justin Jefferson for the next few weeks. Outside linebacker Marcus Davenport is now on IR after he suffered a high ankle sprain against the Bears in week 6, which is a significant hit to their edge rusher depth. It will be up to Cousins to outgun Love in Green Bay. Read my prediction, pick, and best bet below.

Vikings vs. Packers Date, Start Time, And Where To Watch

Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023

Start Time: 1:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: FOX

Vikings vs. Packers Odds

Moneyline: Vikings -102, Packers -118

Spread: Vikings +1, Packers -1

O/U: 43

Vikings vs. Packers Prediction

This game is a pick’em. With such a tight spread, this will be a moneyline pick. The Vikings are middle of the pack on both offense and defense. The Vikings are ranked 13th in offense, averaging 339 YPG. Their defense is ranked 15th, allowing an average of 331 YPG. Both of these numbers may dip a bit after their Monday night matchup with the Niners, especially with injuries on both sides of the ball. 

Kirk Cousins is averaging 280 YPG passing, and has 14 TDs with 4 INTs. Cousins has been successful passing the ball so far this season. Their offensive production did dip against the Bears without Justin Jefferson. Cousins only threw for 181 yards and 1 TD, but it was enough to come away with a victory against the Bears. 

The Packers have been starting games slow and have been struggling on offense the past few weeks. It appears defenses have been able to limit production from Jordan Love, who was a TD machine early in the season. Love is averaging 211 YPG and has 10 TD and 7 INT on the year. Aaron Jones returned against the Broncos, but was on a pitch count. Jones only rushed for 35 yards on 8 carries. If Jones carries the ball more in week 8, this will be a much needed boost for the Packers offense.

The Packers are on a 3 game losing streak, with the 2 most recent losses being very close defensive matchups. The Vikings have been losing close games all season, losing by an average of 5 points per game. Something has to give, one of these teams will win a close game. My bet is on the home team. Love and the Packers will do just enough offensively to eke out a win. If Jefferson was playing I would take the Vikings, but I believe the Vikings offense will struggle until he returns. My bet is the Packers moneyline -118.

Vikings vs. Packers Best Bet

Packers -118 @ Draftkings