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The Denver Broncos visit the Buffalo Bills for a Monday Night Football showdown. Both of these teams can drastically change the trajectory of their seasons depending on the outcome of this game. If the Bills lose, the sky will be falling in Buffalo, their playoff hopes will be crushed. If the Broncos win, there will be a rejuvenated feeling of optimism, with a glimmer of hope for a playoff spot. 

The Broncos are coming off of a bye week. It is always tough beating a team coming off of a bye. The Broncos will be looking to maintain momentum from their 24-9 victory over the Chiefs in week 8. The Broncos offense got the job done and was effective in the red zone. Their defense was surprising, forcing Patrick Majomes to throw for 241 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. The Broncos’ defense will be a factor in my prediction.

The Bills are not playing well lately. Ever since their 25-20 loss to the Jaguars in London they have not looked right, especially on offense. Since then, the Bills have lost to the Patriots and Bengals and now sit at 5-4 on the year. The Bills defense is riddled with injuries, another factor that plays into my prediction. 

Both teams have a lot at stake this Monday. Let’s make some money on the game! Read my Broncos vs. Bills Prediction, Pick, Odds below.

Broncos vs. Bills Date, Start Time, And Where To Watch

Date: Monday, November 13, 2023

Start Time: 8:15 pm ET

Where to Watch: ABC

Broncos vs. Bills Odds

Moneyline: Broncos +280, Bills -355

Spread: Broncos +7, Bills -7

O/U: 47

Broncos vs. Bills Prediction

The Broncos defense is ranked 32nd, allowing an average of 405 yards per game. This number is inflated due to the insane 70-20 blowout loss to the Dolphins in week 3. The Dolphins had 726 total yards this game, skewing the overall defensive rank of the Broncos. The last 3 games the Broncos have held teams to an average of 15 points. It is possible this team has found its stride on defense, which will pose problems for the Bills. Another interesting aspect to this Broncos team, since the return of safety Justin Simmons in week 5, this defense has looked completely different and much better. It is hard to believe one player on the defensive side of the ball can make that much of a difference, but in this case it appears so. The Broncos have their defensive leader back, and Simmons has been a pick machine since his return.

Running back Javonte Williams seems to be gaining confidence and returning to form after his ACL injury last season. Their rushing offense is ranked 11th, averaging 116 yards per game. The Broncos spent the offseason building up a strong rushing attack, and Sean Payton seems to be finally acknowledging that as a strength.

The Bills rank 5th in overall offense, averaging 370 yards per game. This offense is volatile, they can put up points in a hurry and can very quickly turnover the ball and put their defense in a bind. Quarterback Josh Allen has 18 passing touchdowns and 9 interceptions on the season. Allen also has 6 rushing touchdowns and 3 fumbles. Like I said, a volatile offense. 

The Bills’ defense is mid-tier, ranked 18th overall, allowing an average of 334 yards per game. The big story on this defense is the injuries. The Bills are plagued with injuries to the defense, and the effects of those injuries was apparent against the Bengals in week 9. Burrow threw for 348 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions against the Bills. At times, the Bengals’ offense looked unstoppable. This can either be a testament to the Bengals being red hot lately, the Bills defense struggling, or both. This game against the Broncos will tell.

I expect the Broncos to run the ball a lot. They will lean on their running game and set up long pass plays, which have been successful. Russell Wilson can still throw the deep ball, the Bills will need to prepare for that. I also expect Allen and the Bills to score and move the ball well, but also have some key turnovers. Keeping these factors in mind, I am placing my money on the Broncos to cover the -7 spread. They may not win this game, but I expect it to be closer than the spread suggests. 

Broncos vs. Bills Best Bet

Broncos +7 (-105 @ Draftkings)